Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 149.940209 164.740495 179.886969 196.517785 214.235992 232.519541 252.783401
2025-02-23 118.198246 139.374285 162.120638 188.245740 217.295719 248.483184 284.370909
2025-03-02 96.812301 121.994847 150.279736 184.096389 223.115572 266.421529 317.807503
2025-03-09 82.532242 110.575499 143.375035 183.999200 232.381312 287.591017 354.766339
2025-03-16 72.168374 102.343479 138.963695 185.764483 243.053565 309.986223 393.146016
2025-03-23 66.064142 98.503928 139.156354 192.511580 259.331749 338.917905 439.477175
2025-03-30 59.858708 93.741112 137.537303 196.482538 271.883556 363.284479 480.538969
2025-04-06 53.295362 87.737688 133.663596 197.022351 279.744496 381.715016 514.411500
2025-04-13 47.793611 82.586786 130.381189 197.863816 287.648588 400.026016 548.157910
2025-04-20 44.597898 80.383378 130.813099 203.422563 301.556139 425.932097 591.604896
2025-04-27 41.316352 77.696038 130.282147 207.458043 313.354746 449.185979 631.920138
2025-05-04 38.852626 75.994788 130.947823 213.001034 327.120170 475.053180 675.803922
2025-05-11 36.284793 73.980644 131.124086 217.973899 340.431176 500.869980 720.489006
2025-05-18 31.024013 67.047876 123.522217 211.446318 337.715093 505.495069 737.796918
2025-05-25 27.129589 61.978601 118.359543 208.101596 339.140308 515.467212 762.083651
2025-06-01 24.489528 58.813248 115.916534 208.574801 345.815250 532.476244 795.781448
2025-06-08 22.467480 56.546037 114.724771 210.796228 354.928876 552.844682 834.141034
2025-06-15 21.625774 56.419012 116.991537 218.333747 371.823670 584.071898 887.406740
2025-06-22 20.289776 55.178502 117.290958 222.756224 384.195588 609.183400 932.691768
2025-06-29 18.436813 52.681951 115.272373 223.383645 390.900196 626.438061 967.462298
2025-07-06 16.806465 50.445937 113.534868 224.323196 397.996188 644.253541 1003.126187
2025-07-13 16.066983 50.040622 114.984995 230.418452 412.905122 673.232189 1054.382571
2025-07-20 15.145595 49.122944 115.435290 234.838961 425.303974 698.761194 1101.110019